Forex for a trader
Forex performance records

Forex performance recordsThere is an excessive amount of traffic coming from your Region. What may be causing this? You are attempting to access this page via a Webhosting Account Scripted access to public pages is not allowed. You are accessing the web via a proxy. If you are using a public proxy, you may wish to switch to another or disable it. If you believe your ISP is using a transparent proxy, please let us know. You or someone on your network is running a bot to crawl our site. Please contact your Network Administrator if you believe this to be the case. We just need you to confirm that you are a person and not a robot. Why Do Many Forex Traders Lose Money? Here is the Number 1 Mistake. by David Rodriguez , Quantitative Strategist. Big data analysis, algorithmic trading, and retail trader sentiment. Your Forecast Is Headed to Your Inbox. But don't just read our analysis - put it to the rest.

Your forecast comes with a free demo account from our provider, IG, so you can try out trading with zero risk. Your demo is preloaded with ?10,000 virtual funds , which you can use to trade over 10,000 live global markets. We'll email you login details shortly. You are subscribed to David Rodriguez. You can manage you subscriptions by following the link in the footer of each email you will receive. An error occurred submitting your form. Please try again later. We look through 43 million real trades to measure trader performance Majority of trades are successful and yet traders are losing Here is what we believe to be the number one mistake FX traders make. W hy do major currency moves bring increased trader losses? To find out, the DailyFX research team has looked through over 40 million real trades placed via a major FX broker's trading platforms.

In this article , we look at the biggest mistake that forex traders make, and a way to trade appropriately . Why Does the Average Forex Trader Lose Money? The average forex trader loses money, which is in itself a very discouraging fact. But why? Put simply, human psychology makes trading difficult. We looked at over 43 million real trades placed on a major FX broker's trading servers from Q2, 2014 – Q1, 2015 and came to some very interesting conclusions. The first is encouraging: traders make money most of the time as over 50% of trades are closed out at a gain. Percent of All Trades Closed Out at a Gain and Loss per Currency Pair. Data source: Derived from data from a major FX broker* across 15 most traded currency pairs from 312014 to 3312015. The above chart shows results of over 43 million trades conducted by these traders worldwide from Q2, 2014 through Q1, 2015 across the 15 most popular currency pairs. The blue bar shows the percentage of trades that ended with a profit for the trader. Red shows the percentage of trades that ended in loss. For example, the Euro saw an impressive 61% of all trades closed out at a gain. And indeed every single one of these instruments saw the majority of traders turned a profit more than 50 percent of the time. If traders were right more than half of the time, why did most lose money?

Average ProfitLoss per Winning and Losing Trades per Currency Pair. Data source: Derived from data from a major FX broker* across 15 most traded currency pairs from 312014 to 3312015. The above chart says it all. In blue, it shows the average number of pips traders earned on profitable trades. In red, it shows the average number of pips lost in losing trades. We can now clearly see why traders lose money despite being right more than half the time. They lose more money on their losing trades than they make on their winning trades . Let’s use EURUSD as an example. We see that EURUSD trades were closed out at a profit 61% of the time, but the average losing trade was worth 83 pips while the average winner was only 48 pips. Traders were correct more than half the time, but they lost over 70% more on their losing trades as they won on winning trades. The track record for the volatile GBPUSD pair was even worse. Traders captured profits on 59% of all GBPUSD trades. Yet they overall lost money as they turned an average 43 pip profit on each winner and lost 83 pips on losing trades.

What gives? Identifying that there is a problem is important in itself, but we’ll need to understand the reasons behind it in order to look for a solution. Cut Losses, Let Profits Run – Why is this So Difficult to Do? In our study we saw that traders were very good at identifying profitable trading opportunities--closing trades out at a profit over 50 percent of the time. They utlimately lost, however, as the average loss far outweighed the gain. Open nearly any book on trading and the advice is the same: cut your losses early and let your profits run. When your trade goes against you, close it out . Take the small loss and then try again later, if appropriate. It is better to take a small loss early than a big loss later. If a trade is in your favor, let it run . It is often tempting to close out at a small gain in order to protect profits, but oftentimes we see that patience can result in greater gains. But if the solution is so simple, why is the issue so common? The simple answer: human nature. In fact this is not at all limited to trading. To further illustrate the point we draw on significant findings in psychology.

A Simple Wager – Understanding Human Behavior Towards Winning and Losing. What if I offered you a simple wager on a coin flip? You have two choices. Choice A means you have a 50% chance of winning 1000 dollars and 50% chance of winning nothing. Choice B is a flat 450 point gain. Which would you choose? 50% chance to Win 1000. 50% chance to Win 0. Expect to win $500 over time. Over time it makes sense to take Choice A—the expected gain of $500 is greater than the fixed $450. Yet many studies have shown that most people will consistently choose Choice B. Let’s flip the wager and run it again. 50% chance to Lose 1000.

50% chance to Lose 0. Expect to lose $500 over time. In this case we can expect to lose less money via Choice B, but in fact studies have shown that the majority of people will pick choice A every single time. Here we see the issue. Most people avoid risk when it comes to taking profits but then actively seek it if it means avoiding a loss. Why? Losses Hurt Psychologically far more than Gains Give Pleasure – Prospect Theory. Nobel prize-winning clinical psychologist Daniel Kahneman based on his research on decision making. His work wasn’t on trading per se but clear implications for trade management and is quite relevant to FX trading. His study on Prospect Theory attempted to model and predict choices people would make between scenarios involving known risks and rewards. The findings showed something remarkably simple yet profound: most people took more pain from losses than pleasure from gains .

It feels “good enough” to make $450 versus $500 , but accepting a $500 loss hurts too much and many are willing to gamble that the trade turns around. This doesn’t make any sense from a trading perspective—50 0 dollars lost are equivalent to 50 0 dollars gained; one is not worth more than the other. Why should we then act so differently? Prospect Theory: Losses Typically Hurt Far More than Gains Give Pleasure. Taking a purely rational approach to markets means treating a 50 point gain as morally equivalent to a 50 point loss. Unfortunately our data on real trader behavior suggests that the majority can’t do this. We need to think more systematically to improve our chances at success. Avoid the Common Pitfall. Avoiding the loss-making problem described above is very simple in theory: gain more in each winning trade than you give back in each losing trade. But how might we do it concretely? When trading, always follow one simple rule: always seek a bigger reward than the loss you are risking. This is a valuable piece of advice that can be found in almost every trading book.

Typically, this is called a “ rewardrisk ratio ”. If you risk losing the same number of pips as you hope to gain, then your rewardrisk ratio is 1-to-1 (also written 1:1). If you target a profit of 80 pips with a risk of 40 pips, then you have a 2:1 rewardrisk ratio. If you follow this simple rule, you can be right on the direction of only half of your trades and still make money because you will earn more profits on your winning trades than losses on your losing trades. What ratio should you use? It depends on the type of trade you are making. We recommend to always use a minimum 1:1 ratio . That way, if you are right only half the time, you will at least break even. Certain strategies and trading techniques tend to produce high winning percentages as we saw with real trader data. If this is the case, it is possible to use a lower rewardrisk ratio—such as between 1:1 and 2:1. For lower probability trading, a higher rewardrisk ratio is recommended, such as 2:1, 3:1, or even 4:1. Remember, the higher the rewardrisk ratio you choose, the less often you need to correctly predict market direction in order to make money trading. We will discuss different trading techniques in further detail in subsequent installments of this series. Stick to Your Plan: Use Stops and Limits. Once you have a trading plan that uses a proper rewardrisk ratio, the next challenge is to stick to the plan.

Remember, it is natural for humans to want to hold on to losses and take profits early, but it makes for bad trading. We must overcome this natural tendency and remove our emotions from trading. The best way to do this is to set up your trade with Stop-Loss and Limit orders from the beginning . This will allow you to use the proper rewardrisk ratio (1:1 or higher) from the outset, and to stick to it. Once you set them, don’t touch them (One exception: you can move your stop in your favor to lock in profits as the market moves in your favor). Managing your risk in this way is a part of what many traders call “money management” . Many of the most successful forex traders are right about the market’s direction less than half the time. Since they practice good money management, they cut their losses quickly and let their profits run, so they are still profitable in their overall trading. Does Using 1:1 Reward to Risk Really Work? Our data certainly suggest it does. We use our data on our top 15 currency pairs to determine which trader accounts closed their Average Gain at least as large as their Average Loss—or a minimum Reward:Risk of 1:1. Were traders ultimately profitable if they stuck to this rule? Past performance is not indicative of future results, but the results certainly support it. Our data shows that 53 percent of all accounts which operated on at least a 1:1 Reward to Risk ratio turned a net-profit in our 12-month sample period. Those under 1:1? A mere 17 percent. T raders who adhered to this rule were 3 times more likely to turn a profit over the course of these 12 months—a substantial difference. Data source: Derived from data from a major FX broker* across 15 most traded currency pairs from 312014 to 3312015. Game Plan: What Strategy Can I Use? Trade forex with stops and limits set to a riskreward ratio of 1:1 or higher.

Whenever you place a trade, make sure that you use a stop-loss order. Always make sure that your profit target is at least as far away from your entry price as your stop-loss is. You can certainly set your price target higher, and probably should aim for at least 1:1 regardless of strategy, potentially 2:1 or more in certain circumstances. Then you can choose the market direction correctly only half the time and still make money in your account. The actual distance you place your stops and limits will depend on the conditions in the market at the time, such as volatility, currency pair, and where you see support and resistance. You can apply the same rewardrisk ratio to any trade. If you have a stop level 40 pips away from entry, you should have a profit target 40 pips or more away. If you have a stop level 500 pips away, your profit target should be at least 500 pips away. We will use this as a basis for further study on real trader behavior as we look to uncover the traits of successful traders. *Data is drawn from FXCM Inc. accounts excluding Eligible Contract Participants, Clearing Accounts, Hong Kong, and Japan subsidiaries from 312014 to 3312015. View the next articles in the Traits of Successful Series: The Traits of Successful Traders. This article is a part of our Traits of Successful Traders series. Over the past several months, The DailyFX Research team has been closely studying the trading trends of traders via a major FX broker.

We have gone through an enormous number of statistics and anonymized trading records in order to answer one question: “What separates successful traders from unsuccessful traders?”. We have been using this unique resource to distill some of the “best practices” that successful traders follow, such as the best time of day, appropriate use of leverage, the best currency pairs, and more. Stay tuned for the next article in the Traits of Successful Traders Series. Analysis prepared and written by David Rodriguez, Quantitative Strategist for DailyFX. com. Sign up to David’s e-mail distribution list to receive future e-mail updates on the Traits of Successful Traders series and other reports. Contact and follow David via Twitter: twitter. comDRodriguezFX. DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets. A Forex Trading Journal to Track Your Performance. Creating and maintaining a Forex trading journal is one of the most important pieces of the puzzle of professional Forex trading. In today’s lesson, I am going to give you a trading journal to log all your trades.

I guarantee this will help your trading and mindset. In last week’s article I discussed what a typical day in the life of a professional Forex trader is like. I am going to first explain to you why having a Forex trading journal is essential to becoming a professional trader, and then I am going to show you what my trading journal looks like so that you get an idea of how to make your own. By the end of this article you will be able to create your very own Forex trading journal, and this is a huge step in the direction of becoming a professional trader. If Your Impatient and Can’t wait to the end of this article. You can download my Forex Trading Journal here – I Track All My Trades Using This Spreadsheet. Please Make a comment after reading this article and Click The Facebook ‘Like Button”, Pay it forward and share it around with other traders. Why do I need a Forex trading journal Nial? First off, you need a trading journal because you need to track your trading performance over time. Many aspiring traders get caught up on the results of each individual trade; however, the professional trader knows that their trading performance is measured over a long series of trades, not just one or two. So, it’s important to have a way to track your results so that you can see how you are doing over a series of trades, this allows you to not get caught up on any individual trade. You can think of your trading journal as a constant and tangible reminder that your trading performance is measured over a series of trades. Having this type of reminder is very important, especially early-on in your trading career, it helps keep you focused and it helps to remove any emotion you might attach to any one trade. Next, developing a track record is something you should take pride and pleasure in doing. If you have a tangible track record that shows your ability to be consistent and disciplined over time, you won’t want to mess up this display of mental strength by committing emotional or stupid trading mistakes. In this way, a trading journal works to keep you accountable, you need something to be accountable to as you trade, because there is no boss looking over your shoulder threatening to fire you if you don’t do XYZ exactly right.

If you don’t have a lot of money to trade with, creating a track record that shows consistent trading results over a long period of time is proof that you CAN trade, and if you have this proof you can find people to fund you. So, as we can now see, creating and maintaining a Forex trading journal is a key element to any effective Forex trading plan. Finally, as we discussed in last week’s article about a day in the life of a pro trader, your trading should be a routine. Creating and maintaining a trading journal gives you the structure required to build your trading routine on and it also helps you examine and focus on each individual element of a trade, which we will discuss below. Essentially, Forex trading success is the result of doing a lot of things the right way every time you interact with the market, and a Forex trading journal helps you do everything the right way every time you trade. What should my trading journal include and how do I make one? The images below are actual screen shots of my trading journal. I have entered example trade parameters below each heading just for demonstration purposes; it wasn’t an actual trade that I took, although it was a good price trading action setup. However, this is the same trading journal I use; you can use it too if you like, or tweak it to your desire. – Entry date: This is self-explanatory; the date you entered the trade, the date you got filled is what you want here (if the order got filled). If the order never gets filled just delete it from you journal. – Security FX pair: The particular security traded, this will either be a currency pair or Gold Silver for most of us. If you are unsure which currency pairs are best to trade, check out this article: best Forex currency pairs to trade? – Entry B S: Here you enter whether you bought or sold and record the specific levelprice you entered at. – Planned Stop and Planned Target: You will put your pre-determined stop and target price in these boxes. It’s very important to pre-define your stop level and target level. If you have pre-determined that you will trail your stop, you can just type something in this box describing your trail method, for example you might type; “trail stop each time trade moves 1 times risk in my favor”. – Possible $ Risk: How much money can you lose on the trade? – Possible $ Reward: How much money are you aiming to make on the trade?

– Position size (lots): Your position size on the trade, or the number of micro mini standard lots being traded. To learn more about position size click here: Forex position sizing. – Exit Price: What price did you actually exit the trade at? To learn about exiting trades click here: Know When to Hold em, Know When to Fold em. – Pips +-: How many pips you gained or lost on the trade. – Total PL: How much total money you made or lost on the trade. – Planned R:R : What was the pre-defined risk reward ratio of the trade? – Actual R:R : What did the risk reward ratio actually end up being? This is important, if you aren’t achieving a risk reward of 1:2 or greater on your winning trades, you will see that over time it’s very hard to make money in the markets. Also, you will notice that if you take profits prematurely this greatly lowers your risk : reward ratio, and of course if you take a risk that is larger than what you had planned the same thing happens. – Exit date: Date the trade closed. – Setup: What was the setup why did you take the trade? Did you trade a valid price action trading strategy? Final thoughts.

Documenting your Forex trading results is a necessary component to becoming a professional Forex trader. As your trading journal progresses over a series of trades, you will start to see the significance of it more clearly. The power of risk reward and money management will become glaringly evident to you as you look over your trading journal after a few months go by. Having this tangible piece of evidence to explicitly show you how discipline and patience pay off over time, is a critical element to attaining and maintaining the proper Forex trading mindset. The reality of Forex trading is that at some point on your journey of learning how to trade, you absolutely have to figure out a way to become a disciplined and organized trader, otherwise you simply will not become successful in the markets. Creating and meticulously maintaining a Forex trading journal is the quickest and most effective way to develop into a disciplined and profitable Forex trader. You can download the Forex trading journal that I use – click here to download the forex trading journal spreadsheet excel file (you will need ms office to open this file). Today's Forex Performance Leaders. Stocks: 15 min. delay (Cboe BZX Exchange is real-time), ET. Volume reflects consolidated markets. Futures and Forex: 10 or 15 min. delay, CT. Market Data subject to terms of use and privacy policy. All Rights Reserved. User agreement applies. Barchart. com Inc. © 2018. Stocks: 15 min. delay (Cboe BZX Exchange is real-time), ET. Volume reflects consolidated markets. Futures and Forex: 10 or 15 min. delay, CT. Market Data subject to terms of use and privacy policy.

All Rights Reserved. User agreement applies. Forex Performance Leaders lists forex contracts with the highest and lowest Percent Change (the difference between Previous Close and the Last Price). This page can help you identify the crossrates with the most price movement from the close of the market yesterday. The page is initially displayed using the Chart View, which graphs top Performance Leaders as green bars (highest Percent Change), followed by bottom Performance Leaders as red bars (lowest Percent Change) and shows the 30 topbottom crossrates. Hover over any of the green or red bars to view the Last, Change, High, Low prices, plus last trade time. Hint : Use the Main View to see the top 10 specific forex contracts that appear on the Chart View, along with their Percent Change. The contracts that appear on the Performance Leaders page are re-ranked every 10 minutes. During active trading, you will see new price information on the page, as indicated by a "flash" on the fields with new data. Please note that prices on the Chart View are static, and not updated as you see on the other views. Forex prices are delayed 10 minutes, per exchange rules, and trade times are listed in CST. Managed Forex With Performance Records - Past Performance Is Not Indicative Of Future Results. For anybody that is intrigued with a highly liquid as well as highly profitable foreign exchange market, managed Forex with performance records is one option that you can take since although you do not need to educate yourself about terms, charts, indicators as well as other types of technicalities before you actually taste success in this kind of speculation, the historical data can give you some idea as to what you might expect.

Moreover, managed Forex with performance records is much simpler and also can be a more sound investment because it means holding accounts in foreign exchange market that will be managed by other traders. These traders are then paid by the investors which hopefully results in growth in their their account. Also, bearing in mind the past performance; you might hope to achieve the same type of results in the future. Keep Your Expectations Realistic. The benefit in selecting managed Forex with performance records is that you are in a better position than if you trade in a casual manner on your own because Forex market trading demands quite a bit of hard work and not everyone can succeed at it. Also it should not raise your hopes too much in an unrealistic fashion. With greater than 2 trillion dollars in value of trade being executed on a day-to-day basis in a gigantic market, some individuals might actually end up losing some of their money, which according to various statistics means 90 to 95% of those who lose money are the new traders. You need to properly learn as much can for managed Forex with performance records or else you stand a chance to lose your shirt, so to speak, quite easily and to become properly educated in this type of field requires spending some money. Hence, it might be better to just let the experts handle the trading for you and because you are engaging them on the grounds of managed Forex with performance records you will have the ability to see some of their past history and their historical performance and also be in an ideal position to make a judgment to their level of performance. Past Performance and Future Results. Nevertheless, with regard to managed Forex with performance records, the US federal government has specific rules in place that are less than encouraging towards the account managers when they are revealing the historical performance records with various disclaimers for instance "past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results." Therefore, though you might consider managed Forex with performance records as being an ideal course of action, you still have to have somewhat of a skeptical mindset of those types of traders that make the claim that there products and services will furnish you with the gigantic returns with a minimum amount of risk.

These types of disclaimers in regards to managed Forex with performance records are in place to protect you and to stop you from getting any unreasonable hopes of receiving assaults results that have been achieved prior to the present since trading is basically speculative. Also, any type of performance results are basically unpredictable which is why the majority of traders, when offering to use their various services will be pretty less than enthusiastic in providing you with prior results, so in that way you will not have excessive expectations from them. The bottom line is that managed Forex with performance records will only help potential customers recognize what the possibilities are when pursuing this type of Forex trading, although they're typically are disclaimers provided that will assist in protecting the Forex managers from any type of legal liability should their future performance not match their past achievements. Listen to Korbin Newlyn as he shares his insights as an expert author and an avid writer in the field of finance and investment. If you would like to learn more go to Forex Trading System advice and at Forex Signal Software tips. Choose your category: Through our high result portfolio you may significantly reduce the risk of your high return new generation investment that bears benefits unparalleled. The bases of the investment come form the possibilities offered by the exchange markets, especially by the currency exchange market; with us you too may profit from these possibilities and achieve returns that have only been available to institutional investors before. Providing High Performance Managed Forex Accounts Since Jan 2015. Our Key Metric Highlights: +4.5% Gross Average Return Per Month. Drawdown. Performance Fee operates on a no profit, no fee based on high watermark principle. If your account shows profit from the beginning of the month to the beginning of the next a performance fee will be tallied and a request sent from us for payment. Performance fee rates reflects the amount invested.

For accounts US$3,000 up to and including US$49,999 performance fee rate is 25%. For accounts greater than and including US$50,000 performance fee rate is 20%. Example Performance Fee. For demonstration purposes 25% performance fee is applied to new profits in the example below. Initial Balance US$10,000 initial high-water mark, no fee will be paid until the end of month balance exceeds this initial balance). End of month balance US$10,800 (total profit for month is US$800). Performance fee charged is US$200 (25% of US$800), leaving US$10,600 in the account. The new high water mark for this account is US$10,600 (you will not pay a performance fee until the next time an end of month balance exceeds this balance). High water mark US$10,600 (from month 1). End of month balance US$11,000 (total profit for month is US$400). Performance fee charged is US$100 USD (25% of US$400), leaving US$10,900 in the account. The new high water mark for this account is US$10,900 (you will not pay a performance fee until the next time an end of month balance exceeds this balance). High water mark US$10,900 (from month 2). End of month balance US$10,600 (total profit for month is - US$300). Performance fee charged is 0 USD. No profit, no fee. The high water mark for this account is still US$10,900 (you will not pay a performance fee until the next time an end of month balance exceeds this balance). High water mark US$10,900 (from month 2). End of month balance US$11,500 (total profit for month is US$900, US$600 more than previous highwater mark). Performance fee charged is US$150 USD (25% of US$600), leaving US$11,350 in the account. The high water mark for this account is US$11,350 (you will not pay a performance fee until the next time an end of month balance exceeds this balance). The process of setting up your managed forex account could not be easier. Simply complete the Get Started form and we can be managing your account within hours. Why Do Many Forex Traders Lose Money? Here is the Number 1 Mistake. by David Rodriguez , Quantitative Strategist.

Big data analysis, algorithmic trading, and retail trader sentiment. Your Forecast Is Headed to Your Inbox. But don't just read our analysis - put it to the rest. Your forecast comes with a free demo account from our provider, IG, so you can try out trading with zero risk. Your demo is preloaded with ?10,000 virtual funds , which you can use to trade over 10,000 live global markets. We'll email you login details shortly. You are subscribed to David Rodriguez. You can manage you subscriptions by following the link in the footer of each email you will receive. An error occurred submitting your form. Please try again later. We look through 43 million real trades to measure trader performance Majority of trades are successful and yet traders are losing Here is what we believe to be the number one mistake FX traders make. W hy do major currency moves bring increased trader losses? To find out, the DailyFX research team has looked through over 40 million real trades placed via a major FX broker's trading platforms. In this article , we look at the biggest mistake that forex traders make, and a way to trade appropriately .

Why Does the Average Forex Trader Lose Money? The average forex trader loses money, which is in itself a very discouraging fact. But why? Put simply, human psychology makes trading difficult. We looked at over 43 million real trades placed on a major FX broker's trading servers from Q2, 2014 – Q1, 2015 and came to some very interesting conclusions. The first is encouraging: traders make money most of the time as over 50% of trades are closed out at a gain. Percent of All Trades Closed Out at a Gain and Loss per Currency Pair. Data source: Derived from data from a major FX broker* across 15 most traded currency pairs from 312014 to 3312015. The above chart shows results of over 43 million trades conducted by these traders worldwide from Q2, 2014 through Q1, 2015 across the 15 most popular currency pairs. The blue bar shows the percentage of trades that ended with a profit for the trader. Red shows the percentage of trades that ended in loss. For example, the Euro saw an impressive 61% of all trades closed out at a gain. And indeed every single one of these instruments saw the majority of traders turned a profit more than 50 percent of the time.

If traders were right more than half of the time, why did most lose money? Average ProfitLoss per Winning and Losing Trades per Currency Pair. Data source: Derived from data from a major FX broker* across 15 most traded currency pairs from 312014 to 3312015. The above chart says it all. In blue, it shows the average number of pips traders earned on profitable trades. In red, it shows the average number of pips lost in losing trades. We can now clearly see why traders lose money despite being right more than half the time. They lose more money on their losing trades than they make on their winning trades . Let’s use EURUSD as an example. We see that EURUSD trades were closed out at a profit 61% of the time, but the average losing trade was worth 83 pips while the average winner was only 48 pips. Traders were correct more than half the time, but they lost over 70% more on their losing trades as they won on winning trades. The track record for the volatile GBPUSD pair was even worse.

Traders captured profits on 59% of all GBPUSD trades. Yet they overall lost money as they turned an average 43 pip profit on each winner and lost 83 pips on losing trades. What gives? Identifying that there is a problem is important in itself, but we’ll need to understand the reasons behind it in order to look for a solution. Cut Losses, Let Profits Run – Why is this So Difficult to Do? In our study we saw that traders were very good at identifying profitable trading opportunities--closing trades out at a profit over 50 percent of the time. They utlimately lost, however, as the average loss far outweighed the gain. Open nearly any book on trading and the advice is the same: cut your losses early and let your profits run. When your trade goes against you, close it out . Take the small loss and then try again later, if appropriate. It is better to take a small loss early than a big loss later. If a trade is in your favor, let it run . It is often tempting to close out at a small gain in order to protect profits, but oftentimes we see that patience can result in greater gains. But if the solution is so simple, why is the issue so common?

The simple answer: human nature. In fact this is not at all limited to trading. To further illustrate the point we draw on significant findings in psychology. A Simple Wager – Understanding Human Behavior Towards Winning and Losing. What if I offered you a simple wager on a coin flip? You have two choices. Choice A means you have a 50% chance of winning 1000 dollars and 50% chance of winning nothing. Choice B is a flat 450 point gain. Which would you choose? 50% chance to Win 1000. 50% chance to Win 0. Expect to win $500 over time.

Over time it makes sense to take Choice A—the expected gain of $500 is greater than the fixed $450. Yet many studies have shown that most people will consistently choose Choice B. Let’s flip the wager and run it again. 50% chance to Lose 1000. 50% chance to Lose 0. Expect to lose $500 over time. In this case we can expect to lose less money via Choice B, but in fact studies have shown that the majority of people will pick choice A every single time. Here we see the issue. Most people avoid risk when it comes to taking profits but then actively seek it if it means avoiding a loss. Why? Losses Hurt Psychologically far more than Gains Give Pleasure – Prospect Theory. Nobel prize-winning clinical psychologist Daniel Kahneman based on his research on decision making. His work wasn’t on trading per se but clear implications for trade management and is quite relevant to FX trading. His study on Prospect Theory attempted to model and predict choices people would make between scenarios involving known risks and rewards. The findings showed something remarkably simple yet profound: most people took more pain from losses than pleasure from gains . It feels “good enough” to make $450 versus $500 , but accepting a $500 loss hurts too much and many are willing to gamble that the trade turns around. This doesn’t make any sense from a trading perspective—50 0 dollars lost are equivalent to 50 0 dollars gained; one is not worth more than the other.

Why should we then act so differently? Prospect Theory: Losses Typically Hurt Far More than Gains Give Pleasure. Taking a purely rational approach to markets means treating a 50 point gain as morally equivalent to a 50 point loss. Unfortunately our data on real trader behavior suggests that the majority can’t do this. We need to think more systematically to improve our chances at success. Avoid the Common Pitfall. Avoiding the loss-making problem described above is very simple in theory: gain more in each winning trade than you give back in each losing trade. But how might we do it concretely? When trading, always follow one simple rule: always seek a bigger reward than the loss you are risking. This is a valuable piece of advice that can be found in almost every trading book. Typically, this is called a “ rewardrisk ratio ”. If you risk losing the same number of pips as you hope to gain, then your rewardrisk ratio is 1-to-1 (also written 1:1). If you target a profit of 80 pips with a risk of 40 pips, then you have a 2:1 rewardrisk ratio. If you follow this simple rule, you can be right on the direction of only half of your trades and still make money because you will earn more profits on your winning trades than losses on your losing trades. What ratio should you use? It depends on the type of trade you are making.

We recommend to always use a minimum 1:1 ratio . That way, if you are right only half the time, you will at least break even. Certain strategies and trading techniques tend to produce high winning percentages as we saw with real trader data. If this is the case, it is possible to use a lower rewardrisk ratio—such as between 1:1 and 2:1. For lower probability trading, a higher rewardrisk ratio is recommended, such as 2:1, 3:1, or even 4:1. Remember, the higher the rewardrisk ratio you choose, the less often you need to correctly predict market direction in order to make money trading. We will discuss different trading techniques in further detail in subsequent installments of this series. Stick to Your Plan: Use Stops and Limits. Once you have a trading plan that uses a proper rewardrisk ratio, the next challenge is to stick to the plan. Remember, it is natural for humans to want to hold on to losses and take profits early, but it makes for bad trading. We must overcome this natural tendency and remove our emotions from trading. The best way to do this is to set up your trade with Stop-Loss and Limit orders from the beginning . This will allow you to use the proper rewardrisk ratio (1:1 or higher) from the outset, and to stick to it. Once you set them, don’t touch them (One exception: you can move your stop in your favor to lock in profits as the market moves in your favor). Managing your risk in this way is a part of what many traders call “money management” .

Many of the most successful forex traders are right about the market’s direction less than half the time. Since they practice good money management, they cut their losses quickly and let their profits run, so they are still profitable in their overall trading. Does Using 1:1 Reward to Risk Really Work? Our data certainly suggest it does. We use our data on our top 15 currency pairs to determine which trader accounts closed their Average Gain at least as large as their Average Loss—or a minimum Reward:Risk of 1:1. Were traders ultimately profitable if they stuck to this rule? Past performance is not indicative of future results, but the results certainly support it. Our data shows that 53 percent of all accounts which operated on at least a 1:1 Reward to Risk ratio turned a net-profit in our 12-month sample period. Those under 1:1? A mere 17 percent. T raders who adhered to this rule were 3 times more likely to turn a profit over the course of these 12 months—a substantial difference. Data source: Derived from data from a major FX broker* across 15 most traded currency pairs from 312014 to 3312015. Game Plan: What Strategy Can I Use? Trade forex with stops and limits set to a riskreward ratio of 1:1 or higher.

Whenever you place a trade, make sure that you use a stop-loss order. Always make sure that your profit target is at least as far away from your entry price as your stop-loss is. You can certainly set your price target higher, and probably should aim for at least 1:1 regardless of strategy, potentially 2:1 or more in certain circumstances. Then you can choose the market direction correctly only half the time and still make money in your account. The actual distance you place your stops and limits will depend on the conditions in the market at the time, such as volatility, currency pair, and where you see support and resistance. You can apply the same rewardrisk ratio to any trade. If you have a stop level 40 pips away from entry, you should have a profit target 40 pips or more away. If you have a stop level 500 pips away, your profit target should be at least 500 pips away. We will use this as a basis for further study on real trader behavior as we look to uncover the traits of successful traders. *Data is drawn from FXCM Inc. accounts excluding Eligible Contract Participants, Clearing Accounts, Hong Kong, and Japan subsidiaries from 312014 to 3312015. View the next articles in the Traits of Successful Series: The Traits of Successful Traders.

This article is a part of our Traits of Successful Traders series. Over the past several months, The DailyFX Research team has been closely studying the trading trends of traders via a major FX broker. We have gone through an enormous number of statistics and anonymized trading records in order to answer one question: “What separates successful traders from unsuccessful traders?”. We have been using this unique resource to distill some of the “best practices” that successful traders follow, such as the best time of day, appropriate use of leverage, the best currency pairs, and more. Stay tuned for the next article in the Traits of Successful Traders Series. Analysis prepared and written by David Rodriguez, Quantitative Strategist for DailyFX. com. Sign up to David’s e-mail distribution list to receive future e-mail updates on the Traits of Successful Traders series and other reports. Contact and follow David via Twitter: twitter. comDRodriguezFX. DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets. Indices Futures Prices.

indices Futures News. Chris Vermeulen - Technical Traders Ltd. Sun Aug 26, 10:01AM CDT. Identified a potential in the markets that many people may have overlooked or are not prepared for. The recent strength in the markets has skewed many. Murali Sarma - Trade Guidance, LLC Fri Aug 24, 2:36PM CDT. Swing trading is not for everyone - past performance is not indicative of possible future results. Bill Baruch - Blue Line Futures Fri Aug 24, 11:56AM CDT. Actionable levels for ES, CL, GC, ZB and more. Michael Seery - Seery Futures Fri Aug 24, 10:44AM CDT. Alan Bush - ADM Investor Services Fri Aug 24, 9:29AM CDT. Stock index futures are higher even though U. S. and Chinese officials concluded two days of trade talks yesterday without any progressand with "no further. Jerry Welch - Fri Aug 24, 9:08AM CDT. From Haunted By Markets comes. Stocks: 15 min. delay (Cboe BZX Exchange is real-time), ET. Volume reflects consolidated markets. Futures and Forex: 10 or 15 min. delay, CT. Market Data subject to terms of use and privacy policy. All Rights Reserved. User agreement applies. Barchart. com Inc. © 2018.

Stocks: 15 min. delay (Cboe BZX Exchange is real-time), ET. Volume reflects consolidated markets. Futures and Forex: 10 or 15 min. delay, CT. Market Data subject to terms of use and privacy policy. All Rights Reserved. User agreement applies. The Futures Commodity Groupings page lists the lead contracts of the major North American and European Futures Markets. Broken down into different commodity groups, You will see new price data appear on the page as indicated by a "flash". Futures prices are delayed 10 minutes, per exchange rules, and are listed in CST. Choose from one of two time-frames from the drop-down list found in the data table's toolbar: Intraday - Intraday prices by commodity will always show prices from the latest session of the market. The 's' after the last price indicates the price has settled for the day. End-of-Day - End-of-day prices by commodity are updated by 7pm CST each evening, and include the previous session's Volume and Open Interest information. For pages showing Intraday views, we use the current session's data, with new price data appear on the page as indicated by a "flash". Stocks: 15 minute delay (Cboe BZX data for U. S. equities is real-time), ET. Volume reflects consolidated markets. Futures and Forex: 10 or 15 minute delay, CT. The list of symbols included on the page is updated every 10 minutes throughout the trading day . However, new stocks are not automatically added to or re-ranked on the page until the site performs its 10-minute update. Pages are initially sorted in a specific order (depending on the data presented). You can re-sort the page by clicking on any of the column headings in the table.

Most data tables can be analyzed using "Views." A View simply presents the symbols on the page with a different set of columns. Site members can also display the page using Custom Views . (Simply create a free account, log in, then create and save Custom Views to be used on any data table.) Each View has a "Links" column on the far right to access a symbol's Quote Overview, Chart, Options Quotes (when available), Barchart Opinion, and Technical Analysis page. Standard Views found throughout the site include: Main View : Symbol, Name, Last Price, Change, Percent Change, High, Low, Volume, and Time of Last Trade. Technical View : Symbol, Name, Last Price, Today's Opinion, 20-Day Relative Strength, 20-Day Historic Volatility, 20-Day Average Volume, 52-Week High and 52-Week Low. Performance View : Symbol, Name, Last Price, Weighted Alpha, YTD Percent Change, 1-Month, 3-Month and 1-Year Percent Change. Fundamental View : Available only on equity pages, shows Symbol, Name, Weighted Alpha, Market Cap, PE Ratio. Earnings Per Share, Beta, Return on Equity, and PriceSales. Unique to Barchart.

com, data tables contain an "expand" option. Click the "+" icon in the first column (on the left) to "expand" the table for the selected symbol. Scroll through widgets of the different content available for the symbol. Click on any of the widgets to go to the full page. Horizontal Scroll on Wide Tables. Especially when using a custom view, you may find that the number of columns chosen exceeds the available space to show all the data. In this case, the table must be horizontally scrolled (left to right) to view all of the information. To do this, you can either scroll to the bottom of the table and use the table's scrollbar, or you can scroll the table using your browser's built-in scroll: Left-click with your mouse anywhere on the table. Use your keyboard's left and right arrows to scroll the table. Repeat this anywhere as you move through the table to enable horizontal scrolling. Also unique to Barchart, FlipCharts allow you to scroll through all the symbols on the table in a chart view. While viewing FlipCharts, you can apply a custom Chart Template, further customizing the way you can analyze the symbols. FlipCharts are a free tool available to Site Members.

Download is a free tool available to Site Members. This tool will download a. csv file for the View being displayed. For dynamically-generated tables (such as a Stock or ETF Screener) where you see more than 1000 rows of data, the download will be limited to only the first 1000 records on the table. For other static pages (such as the Russell 3000 Components list) all rows will be downloaded. Free members are limited to 10 downloads per day, while Barchart Premier Members may download up to 100.csv files per day. Should you require more than 50 downloads per day, please contact Barchart Sales at 866-333-7587 or email [email protected] com for more information or additional options about historical market data. View the latest top stories from our trusted partners, with a focus on today's futures and commodity markets. Forex Taxation Basics. For beginner forex traders, the goal is simply to make successful trades. In a market where profits – and losses – can be realized in the blink of an eye, many investors just want to "try their hand" before thinking long-term. While forex can be a confusing field to master, filing taxes in the U. S. for your profitloss ratio can be reminiscent of the Wild West. Here is a breakdown of what you should know – even before your first trade. For Options and Futures Investors. Forex options andor futures are grouped in what are known as IRC Section 1256 contracts.

These IRS-sanctioned contracts mean traders get a lower 6040 tax consideration. This means that 60% of gains or losses are counted as long-term capital gainslosses and the remaining 40% as short term. The two main benefits of this tax treatment are: Time Many forex futuresoptions traders make several transactions per day. Of these trades, up to 60% can be counted as long-term capital gainslosses. Tax Rate When trading stocks held less than one year, investors are taxed at the same rate as their ordinary income. When trading futures or options, investors are taxed at a 23% rate (calculated as 60% long-term x 15% max rate + 40% short-term rate x max income tax rate). For Over-the-Counter (OTC) Investors. Most spot traders are taxed according to IRC Section 988 contracts. These contracts are for foreign exchange transactions settled within two days, making them open to ordinary losses and gains as reported to the IRS. If you trade spot forex you will likely automatically be grouped in this category. The main benefit of this tax treatment is loss protection. If you experience net losses through your year-end trading, being categorized as a "988 trader" serves as a large benefit. As in the 1,256 contract, you can count all of your losses as "ordinary losses" instead of just the first $3,000. Which Contract to Choose.

Now comes the tricky part: deciding how to file taxes for your situation. What makes foreign-exchange filing confusing is that while optionsfutures and OTC are grouped separately, you as the investor can pick either a 1256 or 988 contract. You have to decide before January 1 of the trading year. IRC 988 contracts are simpler than IRC 1256 contracts in that the tax rate remains constant for both gains and losses – an ideal situation for losses. Notably, 1256 contracts, while more complex, offer more savings for a trader with net gains – 12% more. The most significant difference between the two is that of anticipated gains and losses. At most accounting firms you will be subject to 988 contracts if you are a spot trader and 1256 contracts if you are a futures trader. The key factor is talking with your accountant before investing. Once you begin trading you cannot switch from 988 to 1256 or vice versa. Most traders will anticipate net gains (why else trade?) so they will want to elect out of their 988 status and in to 1256 status.

To opt out of a 988 status you need to make an internal note in your books as well as file with your accountant. This complication intensifies if you trade stocks as well as currencies. Equity transactions are taxed differently and you may not be able to elect 988 or 1256 contracts, depending on your status. Keeping Track: Your Performance Record. Rather than rely on your brokerage statements, a more accurate and tax-friendly way of keeping track of profitloss is through your performance record. This is an IRS-approved formula for record keeping: Subtract your beginning assets from your end assets (net) Subtract cashdeposits (to your accounts) and add withdrawals (from your accounts) Subtract income from interest and add interest paid Add other trading expenses. The performance record formula will give you a more accurate depiction of your profitloss ratio and will make year-end filing easier for you and your accountant. When it comes to forex taxation there are a few things you will want to keep in mind, including: Deadlines for filing : In most cases, you are required to elect a type of tax situation by January 1. If you are a new trader, you can make this decision before your first trade – whether this is in January 1 or December 31. It is also worth noting that you can change your status mid-year, but only with IRS approval. Detailed record keeping : Keeping good records (and backups) can save you time when tax season approaches.

This will give you more time to trade and less time to prepare taxes. Importance of paying : Some traders try to "beat the system" and earn a full or part-time income trading forex without paying taxes. Since over-the-counter trading is not registered with the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) some traders think they can get away with it. Not only is this unethical, but the IRS will catch up eventually and tax avoidancefees will trump any taxes you owed. Trading forex is all about capitalizing on opportunities and increasing profit margins, so a wise trader will do the same when it comes to taxes. Whether you are planning on making forex a career path or are interested in simply seeing how your strategy pans out, taking the time to file correctly can save you hundreds if not thousands in taxes, making it a transaction that's well worth the time.



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